SHEL Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: SHEL's strong investments in renewables and energy transition efforts drive optimism. Longer-term volatility trends remain flat, supporting stable upward movement potential.




Bearish Case: High near-term implied volatility and lower historical returns signal risks. Market uncertainties and geopolitical factors could suppress SHEL prices, with environmental concerns still pressuring the stock.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance for stability around $66 due to mean reversion.
  • 30% probability of a decline to $62 amid market volatility.
  • 25% chance of rally to $70 driven by bullish sentiment.




Trading Oracle: Opt for a Bearish Short Volatility strategy due to high implied volatility and potential downturn, selling ATM call options and buying more OTM call options. This leverages current market conditions effectively.



April 26, 2025


Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) Forecast

SHEL        Shell Plc - ADR (Representing)











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