SHEL Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Shell's downside risk is significantly lower than upside potential, with a historical bullish bias and a favorable price-to-book ratio of 1.2.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility near-term suggests imminent risks, compounded by low trading volume and a historically mean-reverting price pattern.


Potential Outcomes: Shell remains stable based on historical mean reversion.
Shell rallies due to bullish longer-dated options volume.
A downturn occurs; implied volatility surface suggests near-term risk.


Trading Oracle: Implement bullish debit spreads (Helium Long Volatility) expiring in September 2024 to capture potential upside. Target SHEL $72.50/$77.50 strikes to balance risk/reward. Option term structure and heavily traded call options support bullish bias for mid-term.


June 21, 2024


Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) Forecast

SHEL      Shell Plc - ADR (Representing)











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHEL



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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHEL



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BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.84)


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INMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INMD  Inmode (-0.85)


SHEL News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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