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SHEL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With a 22% buyback reducing share count, SHEL shows strong financial discipline and potential for price growth. Recent earnings strength and low implied volatility also support a bullish view.

Bearish Case: Environmental pressures and volatile energy markets pose risks. High Helium implied volatility above market levels indicates potential instability, suggesting caution.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of price stabilization due to strategic buybacks.
25% chance of further downturn from environmental pressures.
20% probability of price increase from strong financials.
25% chance of volatility due to market uncertainties.

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May 28, 2025

Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) Forecast

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing)

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHEL

KLAC KLA (0.72)

VSAT Viasat (0.71)

GPC Genuine Parts (0.66)

MRUS Merus (0.66)

BMRN Registered Shares (0.65)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHEL

BXSL Blackstone Secured Lending Fund. (0.0)

RACE Ferrari (0.01)

HIVE HIVE Blockchain (-0.01)

EQX Equinox Gold (-0.01)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHEL

RJF Raymond James Financial (-0.62)

MMYT MakeMyTrip (-0.62)

YPF YPF (-0.62)

ZM Zoom Video Communications (-0.63)

PTON Peloton Interactive (-0.67)

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