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SHOP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: SHOP's integration with platforms like Roblox enhances revenue streams, supporting continued growth through e-commerce innovations.

Bearish Case: High competition from Amazon and ongoing legal issues may hinder SHOP's growth, exacerbated by recent stock decline and elevated volatility.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Revenue growth via partnerships (50%).

2) Legal challenges impact growth (30%).

3) Competitive pressures weigh (20%).

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January 16, 2025

Shopify Forecast

SHOP Shopify

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SHOP

ILMN Illumina (0.87)

SOFI SoFi (0.83)

MCD McDonald's (0.79)

AMLX AMLX (0.79)

TCMD Tactile Systems Technology (0.78)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHOP

IAC IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.01)

SONY Sony Group Corporation (-0.01)

TMV Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)

CMC Commercial Metals (-0.01)

PSFE Paysafe Limited (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHOP

ST Sensata (-0.72)

CRON Cronos (-0.73)

VAL Valaris (-0.75)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.78)

OGN Organon (-0.81)

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