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SHOP Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Shopify's AI integration boosts operational efficiency, enticing merchants and expanding market share. Strategic partnerships fuel growth, overcoming macroeconomic hurdles.

Bearish Case: Rising competition from e-commerce giants and legal uncertainties could pressure margins. High operating costs may exacerbate these challenges, impacting growth sustainability.

Potential Outcomes: Continued Innovation Drives Growth (40%): Leveraging AI and partnerships.
Macro Pressures Slow Growth (30%): Economic headwinds and competition impact margins.
Legal and Operational Challenges (20%): Potential legal issues hinder growth.
Market Stabilization (10%): Offsetting factors maintain status quo.

April 29, 2025

Shopify Forecast

SHOP Shopify

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RKLB Rocket Lab USA (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SHOP

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ANET Arista Networks (0.0)

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MKTX MarketAxess (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SHOP

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STM New York Shares (-0.8)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.8)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.81)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.85)

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