SIMS Forecast


Bullish Case: Positive social sentiment and AI-driven demand could boost SIMS prices. Historical data shows potential gains over two-year holding periods.


Bearish Case: High risk and implied volatility suggest potential downside. Current trends and options data indicate continued bearish sentiment.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Continued decline (60%) from bearish sentiment.

2) Neutral stabilization (25%) if conditions improve.

3) Sharp rally (15%) from positive catalysts.


Trading Oracle: Sell SIMS credit spreads (Helium Short Volatility) with 60-day outlook. Capture premium amidst high volatility. Short expiration leverages high implied volatility. Ideal trade: short 36-38 put spread.


July 21, 2024


SPDR S&P Kensho Intelligent Structures Forecast

SIMS      SPDR S&P Kensho Intelligent Structures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SIMS



SLAB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLAB  Silicon Laboratories (0.71)


ONON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONON  On (0.7)


SPHB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPHB  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 High Beta (0.65)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (0.64)


RY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RY  Royal Bank Of Canada (0.62)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIMS



PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.01)


SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.01)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.03)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.04)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.05)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIMS



SAVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAVA  Cassava Sciences (-0.01)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (-0.01)


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (-0.04)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.05)


BRZE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRZE  Braze (-0.21)





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