SIMS Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Enhanced infrastructure investments could drive demand in intelligent structures, boosting SIMS as historical returns show high likelihood of positive outcomes in longer holding periods.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent price decline suggest market skepticism. Broader economic pressures and volatility may lead to further downside risk in the near term.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. Continued decline (60%) driven by high volatility and market skepticism.
  2. Neutral stabilization (25%) as market adapts to current uncertainties.
  3. Sharp rally (15%) due to unforeseen positive catalysts, like policy changes.



March 12, 2025


SPDR S&P Kensho Intelligent Structures Forecast

SIMS        SPDR S&P Kensho Intelligent Structures











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SIMS



PRU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PRU  Prudential Financial (0.81)


VTWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTWO  Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (0.71)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (0.68)


LDOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LDOS  Leidos (0.67)


CNDT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNDT  Conduent (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SIMS



IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (0.0)


MGM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MGM  MGM Resorts International (0.01)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.01)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (0.01)


AVY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AVY  Avery Dennison (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SIMS



ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.34)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.35)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.39)


SAGE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAGE  Sage Therapeutics (-0.41)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.49)









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