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SPXS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: SPXS's high implied volatility and recent call volume suggest potential positive shifts, especially if unexpected market downturns increase fear and demand for bearish protection.



Bearish Case: The long-term downtrend of SPXS and low trading volumes signify persistent bearish sentiment. Historical returns favor further decline absent significant market stressors.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% chance of SPXS declining around $5 due to market stability.
  • 30% likelihood of trade flat near $6.10.
  • 10% potential spike to $7 if volatility increases.



Trading Oracle: Utilize Bearish Short Volatility by selling $6.5 call and buying $7.5 call. This exploits current bearish sentiment and flat implied volatility curve, capturing premium from high put volume.


February 27, 2025


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