SPYV Forecast


Bullish Case: Recent institutional interest and increased call option volume suggest potential upward momentum. Historical data shows resilience and moderate growth over longer holding periods despite recent stagnation.


Bearish Case: Flat recent price action with Helium predicted deviations suggests limited short-term upside. High volatility in lower strike prices indicates possible downside risks and market uncertainty.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Market stagnation continues (60%) - historical performance and current flat price action support this.

2. Bullish breakout (25%) - increased institutional activity and historical resilience suggest potential.

3. Bearish reversal (15%) - high implied volatility at lower strikes indicates downside risk.


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June 27, 2024


SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value Forecast

SPYV      SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with SPYV



FAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FAS  Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares (0.99)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.99)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.99)


XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.99)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to SPYV



UAA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAA  Under Armour (-0.0)


JBHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JBHT  J.B. Hunt Transport Services (-0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.0)


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.0)


DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against SPYV



TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.96)


SDOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDOW  ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 (-0.98)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.99)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.99)





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