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TAIL Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: TAIL may experience a positive uptick given geopolitical tensions and market volatility, providing risk-averse investors a hedge against downturns with spikes in demand during crises.



Bearish Case: Historical data indicate TAIL consistently underperforms in stable market conditions, with mean-reverting tendencies suppressing growth absent extreme market disruptions.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Market crisis boosts TAIL (25%).

2. Stability causes underperformance (60%).

3. Volatility leads to minor gains (15%).


June 16, 2025


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