TAN Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: TAN's potential for positive surprises in solar energy policy and tech innovations, combined with a history of mean reversion, offers an upside opportunity, particularly with current call option volumes suggesting bullish sentiment.




Bearish Case: Persistent high interest rates and economic uncertainty, combined with higher implied volatility, pose significant downside risks, undermining TAN's short-term stability despite its mean-reverting nature.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth with tech advancements (50%).
  • Sideways with market volatility (30%).
  • Decline due to high rates (20%).




Trading Oracle: Strategize with a bullish short volatility approach. Sell the $35 put and buy the $32 put for a 44-day expiry. This structure exploits Helium's volatility insights, offering a balanced risk/reward with a 62% profit probability, capturing premium in a mean-reverting market.



January 10, 2025


Invesco Solar Forecast

TAN        Invesco Solar











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TAN



NEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NEP  NextEra Energy (0.85)


NTLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTLA  Intellia Therapeutics (0.82)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (0.81)


BYND Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYND  Beyond Meat (0.81)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TAN



NKLA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NKLA  Nikola (-0.0)


APH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APH  Amphenol (0.0)


SKYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SKYT  SkyWater Technology (-0.0)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.01)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TAN



JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (-0.75)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.75)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.75)


MSGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MSGS  Madison Square Garden Sports Corp - (-0.75)


MLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLI  Mueller Industries (-0.77)









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