TREX Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: TREX's strong historical performance and recent positive earnings beat indicate resilience. AI's neutral stance and historical patterns suggest potential for upward momentum over the medium term.


Bearish Case: TREX's recent price decline and high price-to-book ratio suggest potential overvaluation. The market's flat outlook combined with declining short-term performance signals possible continued pullback.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued Growth: 30%, historical trends and strong Q1 results.

2. Consolidation: 20%, due to AI's neutral forecast.

3. Correction: 50%, recent downtrend and valuation concerns.


Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish long volatility trade by buying the $75 put and selling the $70 put, expiring in 39 days. Strategy has 51% market odds of profit, return of risk 1:1, and annual historical return of 66%. High reward/risk with a positive edge.


July 10, 2024


TREX Co. Forecast

TREX      TREX Co.











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MAG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAG  MAG Silver (-0.0)


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TREX



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HUM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUM  Humana (-0.88)





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