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TRV Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: TRV's historical price behavior suggests potential recovery as the recent mean reversion points to upward price action, supported by bullish sentiment from option activity favoring calls over puts.



Bearish Case: Despite potential upside, current market uncertainty and historical low trading volumes increase risks of downward corrections, particularly amidst unpredictable economic conditions.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 45%: Continued EPS growth drives price appreciation.
  • 30%: Market volatility leads to a moderate correction.
  • 25%: Sideways trading due to mixed signals and low liquidity.



Trading Oracle: For a bullish outlook, consider establishing a debit spread, buying $260 calls while selling $270 calls, capitalizing on current market trends and higher implied volatility in short-dated options. Set target returns at 40% with a 65% likelihood of hitting profit targets within 30 days. Conversely, selling puts at $240 could hedge against volatility while generating consistent premium income.


December 05, 2024


Travelers Companies Forecast

TRV        Travelers Companies

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with TRV


IHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IHI  BTC iShares U.S. Medical (0.9)


PH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PH  Parker-Hannifin (0.89)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.89)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.85)


NOBL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOBL  ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to TRV


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (-0.0)


AMPL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMPL  Amplitude (0.01)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (0.01)


U Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   U  Unity Software (-0.01)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against TRV


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.64)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.67)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.69)


FLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNG  Flex Lng (-0.7)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (-0.82)







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