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UAL Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Strong U.S.-China travel growth, coupled with high implied volatility, supports a bullish outlook. Positive earnings and strategic expansions enhance growth potential.



Bearish Case: Operational issues, high implied volatility, and mixed passenger sentiment could lead to downside risks. Social media frustrations and reputational challenges persist.



Potential Outcomes: Growth in U.S.-China travel boosts UAL (60%). Operational setbacks hinder performance (40%). Implied volatility increase suggests potential price movements.



Trading Oracle: Execute bullish debit spreads by buying $95 calls and selling $100 calls expiring in early January. High implied volatility offers positive edge with potentially high reward-risk ratio. Focus on short-term gains.


December 24, 2024


United Airlines Forecast

UAL        United Airlines

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