UEC Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Robust demand for uranium driven by geopolitical tensions, accelerating AI power needs, and uranium-led clean energy efforts support UEC's prospects.


Bearish Case: Consistent operational setbacks, high market exposure, and regulatory challenges could impede UEC's growth and drop investor confidence.


Potential Outcomes: Successful production (35%), delayed production (45%), and strategic acquisitions (20%) impact UEC's price and volatility.


Trading Oracle: Adopt a short volatility bearish strategy with 10 days to expiration. Sell 2 $6.0 strike calls, and buy 3 $6.5 strike calls. This approach leverages current high volatility and mean reversion characteristics for a high probability of profit with balanced risk-reward.


July 10, 2024


Uranium Energy Forecast

UEC      Uranium Energy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UEC



NXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXE  NexGen Energy (0.92)


URNM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URNM  North Shore Global Uranium Mining (0.9)


URA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URA  Global X Uranium (0.85)


ARDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARDX  Ardelyx (0.82)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.81)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UEC



ALC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALC  Alcon (-0.0)


GOEV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GOEV  Canoo (-0.0)


LEU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEU  Centrus Energy (0.0)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (0.0)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UEC



BKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKR  Baker Hughes (-0.76)


IMAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMAX  Imax (-0.76)


AGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGL  Agilon Health (-0.76)


APD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APD  Air Products & Chemicals (-0.78)


AMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMC  AMC Entertainment (-0.84)





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