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UHS Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: UHS's low price-to-book ratio and positive sentiment support a bullish case, enhanced by increased call option activity signaling optimism.

Bearish Case: Flat price action and high implied volatility, alongside mixed social sentiment and financial concerns, highlight a bearish case for UHS.

Potential Outcomes: 30% chance of price appreciation due to reevaluation; 40% likelihood of stagnation amidst economic uncertainty; 30% chance of decline from volatility spikes.

Trading Oracle: Sell short-term OTM call spreads due to rising term structure and flat price action. This taps into high IV decay with a bearish tilt, creating high probability profit. Target 30-45 day timeframe for optimal premium collection.

December 31, 2024

Universal Health Services Forecast

UHS Universal Health Services

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UHS

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.92)

HRB H&R Block (0.92)

FE Firstenergy (0.91)

KO Coca-Cola (0.91)

CLH Clean Harbors (0.88)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UHS

ILMN Illumina (0.0)

PENN Penn National Gaming (0.01)

BUD Anheuser-Busch (0.01)

TWLO Twilio (-0.01)

BYD Boyd Gaming (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UHS

FSLY Fastly (-0.87)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.87)

ZI ZoomInfo (-0.88)

FRSH Freshworks (-0.88)

IRTC iRhythm (-0.89)

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