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UNG Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A strong winter demand combined with geopolitical tensions could drive natural gas prices higher, supported by rising implied volatility indicating potential price recovery.

Bearish Case: Economic slowdowns and mild weather forecasts may suppress demand for natural gas, leading to additional price declines as reflected in high short-term option sell volume and low trading activity.

Potential Outcomes:

1) 40% chance of a 15% price rise driven by winter demand.

2) 35% chance of static prices.

3) 25% chance of a 10% downturn due to economic factors.

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November 19, 2024

United States Commodity Funds Forecast

UNG United States Commodity Funds

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UNG

UCTT Ultra Clean Hldgs (0.66)

USD ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (0.66)

FRO Frontline (0.61)

LRCX Lam Research (0.61)

SIMO Silicon Motion Technology (0.6)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UNG

OUST Ouster (-0.0)

CRNC Cerence (0.0)

VSAT Viasat (0.01)

HIMS Hims & Hers Health (0.01)

NRG NRG Energy (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UNG

EPR EPR Properties (-0.58)

YOU Clear Secure (-0.59)

VNO Vornado Realty (-0.6)

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (-0.61)

QURE uniQure (-0.61)

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