UPST Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Upstart's AI-driven lending model shows resilience, with recent analyst upgrades and strategic partnerships hinting at continued growth opportunities. Reduced losses indicate potential profitability.




Bearish Case: Persistent macroeconomic pressures, high competition, and uncertain market conditions maintain strong downward risks, potentially affecting UPST's growth trajectory.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 40% - AI innovation drives growth.
  2. 35% - Macroeconomic pressures lead to decline.
  3. 25% - Mixed news results in stagnation.




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June 25, 2025


Upstart Forecast

UPST        Upstart











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with UPST



PTON Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTON  Peloton Interactive (0.94)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (0.92)


SYF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SYF  Synchrony Financial (0.91)


ZG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZG  Zillow (0.91)


UAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UAL  United Airlines (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to UPST



CPER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPER  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (-0.0)


BEPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEPC  Brookfield Renewable (-0.0)


CBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBT  Cabot (-0.01)


EWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Spain (0.01)


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against UPST



CNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNC  Centene (-0.69)


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.72)


HII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HII  Huntington Ingalls Industries (-0.72)


HDSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HDSN  Hudson Technologies (-0.72)


SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.81)









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