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USA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The USA historical return surface shows positive returns for longer holding periods and stabilizing economic indicators, coupled with optimism in social media sentiment.

Bearish Case: High likelihood of negative returns in the short term, with declining price action and potential for increased volatility due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Economic Growth (40%): Driven by consumer confidence and policy. 2. Recession (30%): Due to inflation and market volatility. 3. Political Instability (20%): Impacting investor confidence. 4. Technological Advancements (10%): Disruption potential.

April 05, 2025

Liberty All-Star Equity Forecast

USA Liberty All-Star Equity

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with USA

BOTZ Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelli (0.79)

DDOG Datadog (0.77)

TALK Talkspace (0.75)

ARKK ARK Innovation (0.74)

CG Carlyle (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to USA

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.0)

SLB Schlumberger (-0.0)

IVR Invesco Mortgage (-0.01)

PBR Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras (0.01)

PTEN Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against USA

AMGN AMGEN (-0.51)

BMRN Registered Shares (-0.52)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.56)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.65)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.71)

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