Price Forecast:

Bullish Case: A strong economic recovery driven by post-election stability and improved consumer spending can boost equity prices, as historical data suggests potential for positive returns, especially over the next 1-2 years.

Bearish Case: Political instability and ongoing geopolitical tensions could lead to decreased investor confidence and negative returns, especially over shorter holding periods as indicated by historical volatility and market behavior.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Economic Recovery: 50% (fueled by consumer spending).

2. Political Instability: 25% (upcoming elections).

3. Inflation Pressures: 15% (ongoing supply chain issues).

4. Technological Advances: 10% (emerging trends).

Trading Oracle: Implement Helium Long Volatility debit spreads targeting a 6-12 month horizon. The strategy leverages potential volatility spikes due to economic shifts and external events. High reward:risk ratios, focusing on capturing upside amidst anticipated market changes. Position with tight stops to mitigate downside risk.

November 19, 2024