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USA Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The USA return surface shows potential for gains in longer holdings over 1 year, supported by stable economic indicators and improving social sentiment, reflecting positive consumer spending and market stability.

Bearish Case: The USA faces substantial short-term volatility risks as recent flat returns and negative sentiment from social media may inhibit price growth amidst political tensions and economic uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes: Steady Growth (35%): Economic stabilization boosts returns.
Moderate Volatility (30%): Political events cause uncertainty.
Stagnation (20%): Flat returns persist.
Significant Upturn (15%): Positive economic shifts catalyze growth.

June 04, 2025

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