VEU Forecast


Bullish Case: Continued passive inflow and moderate recovery in global markets suggest upward pressure on VEU. Historical returns show high likelihood of positive short-term gains.


Bearish Case: Potential global economic slowdown and geopolitical tensions could dampen investor sentiment, negatively impacting VEU's performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate market recovery boosts VEU (30%).

2. Extended economic stagnation (35%).

3. Geopolitical turmoil causes notable dip (35%).


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June 28, 2024


Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Forecast

VEU      Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VEU



VXUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXUS  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total International Stock (1.0)


EFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EFA  BTC iShares MSCI EAFE (0.99)


EWN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWN  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Netherlands (0.98)


EWG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWG  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Germany (0.98)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VEU



WMG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMG  Warner Music (0.0)


SMAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMAR  Smartsheet (0.0)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (-0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.0)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VEU



TWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWM  ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.94)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)


SRTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRTY  ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (-0.95)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.96)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.97)





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