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WPM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: WPM’s growth is driven by increasing demand for precious metals as a hedge against inflation, strong historical performance, and favorable market dynamics with low current implied volatility.



Bearish Case: Potential economic downturns, regulatory challenges, and high market implied volatility versus historical averages pose risks, alongside uncertain global economic trends impacting precious metals.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance: Rising gold prices boost WPM. 25% chance: Market volatility impacts negatively. 15% chance: Stable performance amid mixed sentiments.



Trading Oracle: Engage a bullish long volatility strategy by buying $70 call and selling $71 call, expiring in 18 days. Leverage the low implied volatility for a potential upside with a high annualized return. Strategy offers a positive edge with a reasonable reward-to-risk ratio.


February 11, 2025


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