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AP Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AP's recent price increase indicates strong upward momentum. Historical mean reversion suggests potential gains with extended holding periods.



Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and historical volatility signal potential price instability, with downside risk from broader economic conditions.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of stabilization around $3 due to recent recovery.
  • 35% continuation of volatility, potential drop to $2.50.
  • 25% chance of further gains to $3.50 if bullish sentiment holds.


May 20, 2025


Ampco-Pittsburgh Forecast

AP        Ampco-Pittsburgh

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Assets that tend to move strongly with AP


EOSE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOSE  Eos Energy Enterprises (0.84)


BBAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBAR  BBVA Argentina (0.81)


PL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PL  Planet Labs PBC - (0.78)


XLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLF  Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.78)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.78)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AP


WHD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHD  Cactus (0.0)


FCEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FCEL  Fuelcell Energy (-0.0)


IRM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRM  Iron Mountain (0.0)


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (-0.02)


HL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HL  Hecla Mining (-0.04)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AP


NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.69)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.69)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (-0.71)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.71)


CLF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLF  Cleveland-Cliffs (-0.73)







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