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MUR Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Murphy Oil’s implied volatility is stabilizing, suggesting potential for price recovery. Support from strategic projects and the possibility of higher energy prices lend an optimistic outlook.



Bearish Case: High historical volatility combined with negative price trends and insider selling signal potential continued declines. Environmental concerns and weak volume further cloud future prospects.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of recovery due to stabilized volatility and strategic projects.
  • 40% chance of continued decline influenced by insider selling and flat market conditions.
  • 20% chance stable price with slight fluctuations.



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April 26, 2025


Murphy Oil Forecast

MUR        Murphy Oil

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MUR


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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MUR


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