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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
The blue line is Helium's historical forecast. The black line is the actual closing price. Full transparency of past predictions. Hover over points for more information. Video Tutorial.
Future Price Cone
The future price cone means the model thinks there is a 80% chance the price will land within the bounds of the cone. A blue cone is neutral, a green cone is bullish, and a red cone is bearish.
Model Correlation
Higher (closer to 1) means a more accurate model and lower (closer to -1) means a less accurate model. This is the Spearman Correlation between model predicted percent change and actual percent change calculated over the last 150 days.
Percent Correct (up or down)
This is the percent of the time our models predicted the correct direction of the price (either up or down) over the last 150 days.
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* Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.
Helium Summary:
A National Association for Business Economics survey indicates that inflation could persist until 2024 [The Street].
inflation expectations among consumers and markets seem to have diverged, with the former anticipating higher inflation while the latter sees it declining [Market Watch].
South Korea's inflation expectations decreased due to higher interest rates [bignewsnetwork.com].
May 27, 2023
Perspectives
Economists' View
Economists expect inflation to persist through 2024, supported by the survey results [The Street]
Consumer Views
Consumer expectations show an anticipated rise in the cost of living [Market Watch]
Market Views
Markets expect a decline in inflation, with the five-year breakeven inflation rate at a 28-month low [Market Watch].
Inflation could remain persistent until 2024, according to a National Association for Business Economics survey [The Street]. What do consumer and market inflation expectations look like?
Consumers expect a rise in the cost of living, while markets anticipate a decline in inflation [Market Watch].
The cited sources cover a range of perspectives from economists, consumers, and market data, providing a balanced and comprehensive view of inflation expectations.
The sources discuss inflation expectations from various viewpoints while presenting survey data, consumer expectations, and market indicators. Factors such as interest rates and global economic trends are also considered.
Takeaway
Inflation expectations for consumers and markets seem to be heading in opposite directions, creating uncertainty about future economic conditions through 2024.
Potential Outcomes
1) Inflation remains persistently high through 2024 (survey-supported) [The Street].
* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy
of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions,
you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.