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AI ACA Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Increased demand for ACA options amid growing infrastructure investments and high historical returns suggest robust upside potential. The implied volatility shows optimism, indicating traders are betting on price growth due to favorable market conditions.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent flat price action imply underlying market uncertainty. Potential regulatory challenges and political unrest surrounding healthcare could depress ACA's value, leading to increased downside risk.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of a bullish breakout driven by favorable infrastructure news.

2. 30% risk of sideways movement due to political instability.

3. 20% chance of a downturn from regulatory pressures impacting investor confidence.

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September 12, 2024

Arcosa Forecast

ACA Arcosa

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ACA

VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 Index (0.94)

VB Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Small Cap (0.94)

UWM ProShares Ultra Russell2000 (0.94)

IWC BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Micro-Cap (0.93)

MDY State Street Global Advisors - S&P MidCap 400 (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACA

BEN Franklin Resources (-0.0)

TV Grupo Televisa SAB (-0.0)

ULTA Ulta Beauty (0.01)

ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (0.01)

SNY Sanofi (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACA

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.85)

LABD Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.86)

SQQQ ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ (-0.87)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)

TWM ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (-0.93)

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