ACA Forecast


Bullish Case: ACA's sustained growth trend alongside high historical return likelihoods support continued upward momentum. Recent gains and supportive market sentiment reinforce a strong near-term bullish outlook.


Bearish Case: High implied volatility and flat recent price action indicate potential market uncertainty. Increased put volume suggests bearish sentiment, with risks from regulatory and environmental pressures.


Potential Outcomes: Projections: 60% moderate gains from sustainability and market optimism, 30% risk of downturn due to market uncertainty, and 10% flat movement driven by mixed economic signals.


Trading Oracle: Enter carefully structured bullish debit spreads targeting Aug/Nov expiries around $90 strikes. Use Helium Long Volatility strategy to exploit high implied volatility and expected price appreciation. Monitor political and market updates for adjustments.


July 18, 2024


Arcosa Forecast

ACA      Arcosa











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IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.92)


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (0.92)


SPHB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPHB  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 High Beta (0.92)


DFEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFEN  Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ACA



DE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DE  Deere (0.0)


MCD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCD  McDonald's (-0.0)


REXR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REXR  Rexford Industrial Realty (0.0)


VAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAC  Marriott Vacations Worldwide (0.01)


PBF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBF  PBF Energy (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ACA



SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)


SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.89)


DXD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXD  ProShares UltraShort Dow30 (-0.9)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.95)


TZA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TZA  Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)





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