AP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: AP's recent price increase indicates strong upward momentum. Historical mean reversion suggests potential gains with extended holding periods.




Bearish Case: Persistent high implied volatility and historical volatility signal potential price instability, with downside risk from broader economic conditions.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of stabilization around $3 due to recent recovery.
  • 35% continuation of volatility, potential drop to $2.50.
  • 25% chance of further gains to $3.50 if bullish sentiment holds.



May 20, 2025


Ampco-Pittsburgh Forecast

AP        Ampco-Pittsburgh











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AP



DV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DV  DoubleVerify (-0.0)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (0.0)


O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (-0.01)


HTGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTGC  Hercules (0.01)


SLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SLS  SELLAS Life Sciences (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AP



NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.69)


ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (-0.7)


SBLK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBLK  Star Bulk Carriers (-0.7)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.71)


NXPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NXPI  NXP Semiconductors (-0.71)









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