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ASAN Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: ASAN's 55% higher bullish risk suggests potential upward movement. The term structure shows declining implied volatility, indicating potential stabilization, enhancing bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: Persisting profitability issues and volatility spikes suggest caution. High implied volatility and recent pricing trends point to possible downturns, aligning with existing market skepticism.



Potential Outcomes: 60% growth due to AI advancements and bullish risk; 25% decline reflecting underwhelming profitability; 15% high volatility spurred by macro conditions.



Trading Oracle: Implement a bullish credit spread by selling a $23.5 call and buying a $25.0 call expiring in 30 days. With 70% profit odds and lower implied volatility, this trade captures potential upside with controlled risk, leveraging positive sentiment and mitigating downturn risk.


February 19, 2025











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ASAN


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.82)


CRNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRNC  Cerence (0.8)


YELP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YELP  Yelp (0.79)


PLBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PLBY  PLBY (0.78)


RIOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIOT  Riot Blockchain (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ASAN


KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.0)


POWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   POWL  Powell Industries (-0.0)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.0)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (-0.0)


ITOT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITOT  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ASAN


TMDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMDX  Transmedics (-0.71)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.72)


MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.73)


SHIP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHIP  Seanergy Maritime (-0.75)


HCA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCA  HCA Healthcare (-0.8)







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