BA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Boeing's military contracts and CEO leadership improvements bolster long-term growth, despite current volatility levels.




Bearish Case: Ongoing safety concerns and regulatory scrutiny risk further volatility, keeping pressure on Boeing's stock in the near term.




Potential Outcomes: 40% chance of military contract boosts, 35% regulatory impacts, 25% industry competition pressures.




Trading Oracle: Enter a bullish debit spread by buying $180 calls and selling $185 calls, expiring in February 2025. Utilize current implied volatility to manage risk-reward, given hesitation in option volume.



December 27, 2024


Boeing Forecast

BA        Boeing











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BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.85)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (0.83)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BA



VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.0)


UWMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UWMC  UWM Holdings Corporation (0.01)


OLED Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OLED  Universal Display (-0.02)


MAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAX  MediaAlpha (0.02)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BA



KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.83)


BSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BSX  Boston Scientific (-0.83)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.84)


TT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TT  Trane (-0.85)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.87)









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