BND Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: With BND's historical context of delivering stable returns and recent institutional purchases signaling continued trust, potential market stability or rebound benefits BND, aligned with a slight bullish inclination in options risks.


Bearish Case: Persistent downtrend over the past years, coupled with a largely flat price action and increasing market volatilities, may continue pressuring BND's performance.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable economic indicators - BND gains slightly (30%).

2. Modest interest rate hike or unfavourable policy changes - BND drops (35%).

3. Continued market uncertainty - BND remains flat (35%).


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May 07, 2024


Vanguard Total Bond Market Forecast

BND        Vanguard Total Bond Market
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with BND



VCLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VCLT  Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond (0.98)


DRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRN  Direxion Real Estate Bull 3x Shares (0.85)


PSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSA  Public Storage (0.85)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (0.84)


SSTK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSTK  Shutterstock (0.83)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to BND



CMCSA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMCSA  Comcast (0.0)


BWXT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BWXT  BWX (0.0)


EWH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWH  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Hong Kong (-0.0)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (0.0)


NYCB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NYCB  New York Community Bancorp (0.0)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against BND



CTRA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CTRA  Coterra Energy (-0.65)


UCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCO  ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (-0.69)


DRV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DRV  Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (-0.72)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.74)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.91)





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