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BTC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Institutional adoption and reduced supply through ETFs and halving create scarcity, potentially driving Bitcoin past $80,000. Renewed focus on yield solutions also enhances utility.

Bearish Case: High volatility and potential regulatory hurdles, accompanied by recent price corrections, suggest bearish pressures could drive Bitcoin down, testing key support levels around $76,000.

Potential Outcomes: Institutional inflows continue (60%), pushing BTC above $82k.
Regulatory clampdowns trigger short-term drops (40%), testing $76k support.
ETF impact remains muted, stabilizing BTC between $78k-$80k (10%).

April 12, 2025

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