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CB Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: CB's stable financials and strategic growth plans, reflected in bullish historical returns and social sentiment, provide optimism for upside potential over the medium term.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility, alongside elevated put trading volume, flags market concerns regarding legal and economic uncertainties, suggesting potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Strong earnings drive stock up (45%).

2. Market/legal headwinds cause decline (35%).

3. Lateral movement amid volatility (20%).

Trading Oracle: Trade short volatility with bullish bias; execute put credit spreads (sell $260, buy $250) expiry ~30 days, leveraging CB's low volatility expectation. This strategy highlights the reward:risk ratio while capturing positive edge in a stable market backdrop.

January 09, 2025

Chubb Forecast

CB Chubb

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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See Longer Forecasts

Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CB

XLP Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (0.95)

ONON On (0.92)

ERJ Embraer (0.91)

ICE Intercontinental Exchange (0.91)

EIX Edison International (0.9)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CB

INTU Intuit (0.01)

BHVN Biohaven Pharmaceutical (-0.01)

APH Amphenol (-0.02)

WPC W. P. Carey (0.03)

VTRS Viatris (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CB

CRSR Corsair Gaming (-0.84)

IEP Icahn (-0.86)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.89)

AMR Alta Mesa Resources (-0.9)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.91)

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Market Forecasts

Bullish / Bearish

Digital Assets / Most Accurate

Trading Strategies

Long Volatility

Short Volatility

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Balanced News / Sources

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