CB Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CB's consistent price appreciation, strong options volume in calls, and industry resilience suggest strong upward momentum.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and macroeconomic uncertainties pose risks to CB's stability, with potential regulatory and market disruptions.




Potential Outcomes:
1. Continued strong performance: 60%
2. Market and regulatory challenges: 30%
3. Economic downturn impacts: 10%



April 17, 2025


Chubb Forecast

CB        Chubb











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with CB



HIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIG  Hartford Financial Services (0.93)


ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADC  Agree Realty (0.91)


FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.9)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.81)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to CB



BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (0.0)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.0)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (-0.03)


CPS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPS  Cooper-Standard (0.03)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CB



OVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OVV  Ovintiv (-0.72)


MEDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEDP  Medpace (-0.74)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (-0.75)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.75)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.87)









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