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BBWI Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: BBWI’s focus on digital transformation and strong consumer demand, particularly in e-commerce, suggests potential for growth. Historical resilience in revenue and gross margins supports an optimistic outlook.



Bearish Case: Continued high implied volatility and increased put option activity indicate market uncertainty. Risks such as retail crime, macroeconomic pressures, and declining stock price could continue to weigh on BBWI.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth in e-commerce: 35% chance; boosts revenue.
  • Macroeconomic downturn: 40% chance; depresses retail.
  • Market stabilization: 25% chance; maintains current levels.



Trading Oracle: Utilize Bearish Long Volatility strategy. Significant implied volatility and high put volumes suggest downside potential. Buying OOTM puts and selling fewer further OOTM puts captures volatility and protects against downside risk.


April 09, 2025


Bath & Body Works Forecast

BBWI        Bath & Body Works

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with BBWI


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (0.83)


MEOH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MEOH  Methanex (0.83)


RXRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RXRX  Recursion Pharmaceuticals (0.79)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.78)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to BBWI


FLNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLNC  Fluence Energy (-0.0)


IONQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IONQ  IonQ (0.0)


RJF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RJF  Raymond James Financial (0.01)


RELY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RELY  Remitly (-0.01)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against BBWI


PPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPC  Pilgrim's Pride (-0.7)


ADC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADC  Agree Realty (-0.78)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (-0.82)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.84)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.84)







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