CBT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: CBT's involvement in the EV sector and resilient past performance suggest a rebound potential. Lower implied volatility compared to SPY indicates less risk, enhancing attraction amid growth prospects.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent downward price trend raise caution. Elevated put volumes, along with macroeconomic uncertainties, could pressure the stock further.




Potential Outcomes:
  1. 40% chance: EV sector growth boosts CBT recovery.
  2. 30% chance: Market volatility impacts negatively.
  3. 30% chance: Regulatory or economic setbacks hinder growth.



May 11, 2025


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