CHDN Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: CHDN's bullish sentiment driven by strong historical price returns and expansion plans. The upcoming events in 2025 promise growth, supported by low implied volatility and a positive long-term outlook.




Bearish Case: Ongoing safety concerns and associated reputational risks could lead to further scrutiny and regulatory actions, dampening investor sentiment and potential revenues in the near term.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Expansion initiatives succeed, 70% likelihood.
  • Safety issues re-emerge, 20% likelihood.
  • Market undergoes downturn, affecting revenue, 10% likelihood.




Trading Oracle: Adopt a bullish strategy with a 2x long call spread: purchase CHDN 140 Calls and sell CHDN 145 Calls. This takes advantage of low implied volatility while allowing upside as expansion plans materialize. Maximize potential with a 36% estimated profit margin while mitigating risk.



December 12, 2024


Churchill Downs Forecast

CHDN        Churchill Downs











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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against CHDN



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BRKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRKR  Bruker (-0.79)









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