VTI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong long-term growth trend; high call option volume indicates bullish sentiment despite recent declines. Robust historical returns support upward momentum.




Bearish Case: Backwardation in implied volatility and lower recent price suggests caution. Persistent high volatility levels underscore potential short-term risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Continued growth trend: 55%
  • Short-term correction: 30%
  • Prolonged stagnation: 15%
Limited upside due to market uncertainties and historical flat returns.



March 18, 2025


Vanguard Total Stock Market Forecast

VTI        Vanguard Total Stock Market











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IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (1.0)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (1.0)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.99)


VIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIG  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Dividend Appreciation FTF (0.97)


GLW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLW  Corning (0.97)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VTI



VERA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VERA  Vera Therapeutics (0.01)


FXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXY  Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (-0.01)


AMH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMH  American Homes 4 Rent (-0.02)


AEHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AEHR  Aehr Test Systems (0.03)


SEE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SEE  Sealed Air (-0.05)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VTI



WU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WU  Western Union (-0.85)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.86)


LYB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LYB  LyondellBasell Industries (-0.87)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.89)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.9)









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