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VTI Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: VTI's implied volatility appears stable with growth expectations supported by a strong long-term trend and market optimism. The bullish sentiment indicates potential upward price movement as captured in recent trading volumes favoring calls.

Bearish Case: Rising uncertainty in market conditions and increased implied volatility suggest VTI may face downward pressure. The potential for retraction exists given recent stagnant price action and economic indicators that could disappoint.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued growth (40%) driven by macroeconomic factors,

2. Short-term stagnation (40%) as valuations balance,

3. Significant downturn (20%) if macroeconomic conditions worsen or geopolitical tensions escalate.

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November 17, 2024

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Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with VTI

SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 (1.0)

SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (1.0)

SPLG SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 (1.0)

TT Trane (0.98)

KKR KKR (0.98)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VTI

URBN Urban Outfitters (-0.0)

SRRK Scholar Rock (-0.0)

ACN Accenture (0.0)

DKNG DraftKings (0.01)

PENN Penn National Gaming (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VTI

DLTR Dollar Tree (-0.89)

XRAY DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.9)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.9)

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.91)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-1.0)

VTI News over Time

Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.

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Bullish / Bearish

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Short Volatility

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