COIN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: COIN's flat volatility term structure and high call volumes indicate potential upside, suggesting investor anticipation of positive regulatory outcomes and market sentiment.




Bearish Case: The recent steep price decline and heightened put trading volumes reflect investor concerns over regulatory environments and increased competition, highlighting downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% chance of slight recovery from mean-reversion tendencies.
  • 30% risk of continued decline due to regulatory pressures.
  • 20% possibility of stable trading, pending legislative clarity.



March 18, 2025


Coinbase Forecast

COIN        Coinbase











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GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (0.85)


CXW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CXW  CoreCivic (0.75)


HUBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HUBS  HubSpot (0.74)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COIN



ABR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABR  Arbor Realty (-0.0)


AIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AIG  American International (-0.0)


VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (0.01)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (-0.01)


  FERG   (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COIN



MPWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPWR  Monolithic Power System (-0.65)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.65)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.68)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.71)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.72)









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