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COIN Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: COIN's flat volatility term structure and high call volumes indicate potential upside, suggesting investor anticipation of positive regulatory outcomes and market sentiment.

Bearish Case: The recent steep price decline and heightened put trading volumes reflect investor concerns over regulatory environments and increased competition, highlighting downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance of slight recovery from mean-reversion tendencies.
30% risk of continued decline due to regulatory pressures.
20% possibility of stable trading, pending legislative clarity.

March 18, 2025

Coinbase Forecast

COIN Coinbase

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with COIN

RIOT Riot Blockchain (0.9)

GTLS Chart Industries (0.85)

CXW CoreCivic (0.75)

HUBS HubSpot (0.74)

DDOG Datadog (0.73)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to COIN

ABR Arbor Realty (-0.0)

AIG American International (-0.0)

VOYA Voya Financial (0.01)

ATKR Atkore (-0.01)

FERG (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against COIN

MPWR Monolithic Power System (-0.65)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.65)

AZN Astrazeneca (-0.68)

KDP Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.71)

FXE Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (-0.72)

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