COIN Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: COIN's high call volume and backwardation term structure suggest potential upside due to anticipated regulatory clarity and strong trading interest.




Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges and surface indicators showing mean reversion risk suggest that COIN's price may face downward pressure.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Regulatory clarity: 50% chance of boosting COIN’s price.
  • Legal challenges persist: 30% chance of pressuring COIN down.
  • Market stabilization: 20% chance of maintaining current levels.




Trading Oracle: Trade COIN credit spreads focusing on short-term bearish sentiment due to regulatory uncertainty. Emphasize at-the-money strikes with expiry in 2-3 weeks. Given market conditions, the strategy leverages high implied volatility for potential high risk-reward opportunities. Monitor legal updates.



February 13, 2025


Coinbase Forecast

COIN        Coinbase











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