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IPO Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: IPO's historical return surface shows substantial long-term gains, reinforcing potential growth. Low volatility contrast with SPY suggests stabilization, supporting positive sentiment opportunities.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility for nearby options indicates caution, with substantial short-term risks. Mean reversion and skepticism in social media suggest possible continued decline amid market unpredictability.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Moderate price increase over 6-12 months (45%)
  2. Continued short-term decline (30%)
  3. Price stabilization within 6 months (15%)
  4. Unexpected market-driven spike (10%)


May 04, 2025


Renaissance IPO Forecast

IPO        Renaissance IPO

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36 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts

49 Day Price Forecast + Historical Performance.  Video Tutorial: Trade Smarter With Helium's AI Forecasts











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IPO


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.94)


KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.9)


PNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PNC  PNC Financial Services (0.89)


XLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLG  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (0.89)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.88)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IPO


IPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPI  Intrepid Potash (0.0)


UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (0.0)


BEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEN  Franklin Resources (-0.0)


ADNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADNT  Adient (0.0)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IPO


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.48)


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (-0.5)


PAGS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAGS  PagSeguro Digital (-0.54)


EWW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWW  iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.56)


UDN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UDN  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.69)







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