Bullish Case: IPO's strong historical price return surfaces and current sentiment indicate robust growth potential. The likelihood of long-term gains remains high, supported by positive volatility shift and strategic market positioning Helium.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and market skepticism suggest risk. The mid-term uncertainty potentially undermines investor confidence, as observed from the flat price action and analyst caution HeliumHelium.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Long-term gain (35%): Historical data trends.

2. Short-term volatility spike (30%): Current implied volatility trends.

3. Market stabilization (20%): Neutral forecasts and AI predictions.

4. Short-term decline (15%): Recent price action and skepticism HeliumHelium.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying 47.00 calls and selling 52.00 calls expiring in April 2025. This takes advantage of favorable implied volatility conditions and historical upward trends, offering a strong risk-reward dynamic with an expected broad market stabilization soon.

January 22, 2025