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DUST Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong implied volatility and backwardation suggest potential near-term upswing if gold prices drop or volatility peaks.

Bearish Case: DUST's historical mean reversion and heightened implied volatility warn of significant downside risks, especially if gold stabilizes.

Potential Outcomes: 1. Further decline to $25 (40%): Stabilizing gold prices.

2. Short-term rally to $35 (30%): Volatility spike.

3. Range between $28-$30 (30%).

May 21, 2025

Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X S Forecast

DUST Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X S

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with DUST

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (0.83)

JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (0.77)

VTRS Viatris (0.76)

KIM Kimco Realty (0.67)

UBSI United Bankshares (0.67)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to DUST

CC Chemours (-0.0)

CRON Cronos (0.0)

FSLR First Solar (-0.0)

NVO Novo Nordisk (0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against DUST

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.65)

ETR Entergy (-0.71)

DPZ Dominos Pizza (-0.74)

RYAAY Ryanair (-0.76)

GROY Gold Royalty (-0.81)

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