FNV Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: FNV's expanding portfolio and recent acquisitions promise growth. A stable price rebound helped by mean-reverting trends, combined with investor optimism, supports a continued upward trajectory.




Bearish Case: FNV faces geopolitical risk from Panama proceedings and insider trading uncertainty. High valuation and fluctuating gold prices pose challenges, potentially leading to a price drop if conditions deteriorate.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Price stabilizes around $165 (60%).

2. Decline to $150 due to external factors (30%).

3. Break above $170 with favorable news (10%).




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June 27, 2025


Franco-Nevada Forecast

FNV        Franco-Nevada











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FNV



GFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GFI  Gold Fields (0.91)


EWP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWP  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI Spain (0.87)


EQX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQX  Equinox Gold (0.85)


CPER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CPER  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.8)


ALHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALHC  Alignment Healthcare (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FNV



XLG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLG  Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 (-0.0)


OMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OMF  OneMain (0.01)


TSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSM  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (-0.01)


LAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LAC  Lithium Americas (-0.01)


DNA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNA  Ginkgo Bioworks (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FNV



SAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAM  Boston Beer Co. (-0.76)


ELF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ELF  e.l.f. Beauty (-0.78)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.78)


FDX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FDX  Fedex (-0.79)


MTN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MTN  Vail Resorts (-0.81)









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