FNV Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: FNV's mean reversion signals potential rebound, supported by a flat term structure and recent declines, positioning it for a bounce back towards historical highs.


Bearish Case: FNV faces near-term headwinds from low implied volatility and increased market uncertainty, suggesting limited upside and risk of further declines.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Stabilization and rebound towards $120 (60%).

2. Continued moderate decline to $110 (35%).

3. Sharp slide below $100 if broader market falters (5%).


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June 19, 2024


Franco-Nevada Forecast

FNV      Franco-Nevada












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