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AI FLIC Forecast


Bullish Case: A potential turnaround driven by ConnectOne's $284 million acquisition of FLIC could create scale, enhance growth prospects, and improve profitability, appealing to long-term investors.



Bearish Case: Persisting concerns about declining earnings, high implied volatility, and macroeconomic pressures could lead to further price declines, especially if dividend cuts are announced.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued earnings decline (-30%): 60% chance.

2. Dividend cut: 50% chance, impacting investor confidence.

3. Acquisition-related recovery (+20%): 30% chance, contingent on market execution.



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October 20, 2024


First Of Long Island Forecast

FLIC        First Of Long Island

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