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AI GEL Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: GEL could potentially benefit from improved soda ash pricing due to global demand increases. Upcoming offshore projects may exceed revenue expectations, leading to a price rebound into the $15-$18 range within the next six months.

Bearish Case: Market volatility remains high while GEL's current price stagnates. Continued weak soda ash prices or disappointing earnings may drive GEL below $12, resulting in further downside risk.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Strong soda ash demand, 30% chance.

2) Offshore pipeline revenues exceed $500M, 70% chance.

3) Market volatility heightens, leading to price declines, 50% chance.

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August 15, 2024

Genesis Energy Forecast

GEL Genesis Energy

Price Forecast
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NGD New Gold (0.86)

CDE Coeur Mining (0.86)

RGLD Royal Gold (0.86)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEL

DG Dollar General (0.0)

AMBC AMBAC Financial (-0.0)

GLPI Gaming and Leisure Properties (0.0)

ESTA Establishment Labs (-0.01)

BHP BHP Group Limited (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEL

LAC Lithium Americas (-0.79)

SEDG Solaredge (-0.8)

DLO DLocal (-0.8)

MED Medifast (-0.8)

PII Polaris (-0.84)

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