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GO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: GO's expansion and adaptation to niche markets drive significant growth in sales, benefiting from persistent inflationary pressures.



Bearish Case: Economic recovery reduces demand for discount retail, coupled with increased competition and market saturation hindering GO's growth.



Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of continued growth due to expansion. 25% chance of stagnation from market saturation. 15% chance of decline from economic recovery.



Trading Oracle: Enter a bearish debit spread: buy July 2025 $17.5 puts and sell $15 puts. Leverage high IV and price decline trends. Expect a 116% potential return over ~154 days. This play has favorable odds of profit.


February 16, 2025


Grocery Outlet Forecast

GO        Grocery Outlet

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Assets that tend to move strongly with GO


AMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMR  Alta Mesa Resources (0.91)


ATKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ATKR  Atkore (0.9)


PSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSX  Phillips 66 (0.88)


DIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DIN  Dine Brands (0.87)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.85)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GO


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.01)


RLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RLX  RLX Technology (-0.01)


EH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EH  EHang Holdings Ltd - (0.02)


UVXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UVXY  ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.02)


TSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TSN  Tyson Foods (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GO


UGL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UGL  ProShares Ultra Gold (-0.84)


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.85)


SMMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SMMT  Summit Therapeutics (-0.85)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.87)


COMM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMM  CommScope (-0.87)







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