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Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Grocery Outlet's continued expansion and strong social sentiment bolster revenue growth. Inflation increases demand for discount retail, driving potential upside.



Bearish Case: GO's risk from competition and market saturation, coupled with negative price trends, could lead to declining investor confidence and reduced stock valuation.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Growth via expansion and inflationary demand.
  • 25%: Flat from market saturation.
  • 15%: Decline due to competition and economic recovery.



Trading Oracle: Bearish strategy using debit spreads. Buy April 2025 $20 puts, sell $15 puts to exploit high IV and declining price trend. Short-term expiration captures time decay, high reward-to-risk.


January 07, 2025


Grocery Outlet Forecast

GO        Grocery Outlet

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GO


WPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WPC  W. P. Carey (0.0)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.01)


NOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOVA  Sunnova Energy International (-0.01)


RVNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RVNC  Revance Therapeutics (-0.01)


FXE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FXE  Invesco CurrencyShares Euro (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GO


GLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLD  SPDR Gold Shares (-0.85)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (-0.85)


KGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KGC  Kinross Gold (-0.85)


CHRW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHRW  C.H. Robinson Worldwide (-0.85)


NOK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOK  Nokia (-0.89)







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