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AGI Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: AGI exhibits strong growth potential with high implied volatility in calls, suggesting optimism for increased gold production. Institutional interest and favorable gold prices enhance the bullish outlook.

Bearish Case: Potential for volatility-driven corrections due to mean-reverting price patterns and geopolitical risks in the gold market. High implied volatility indicates potential overvaluation in the short term.

Potential Outcomes: Growth in gold production: 50% chance.
Price correction due to geopolitical factors: 30% chance.
Stable performance with earnings surprise: 20% chance.

June 26, 2025

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AGI Alamos Gold

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Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AGI

PM Philip Morris International (0.87)

ALHC Alignment Healthcare (0.84)

BABA Alibaba (0.84)

VRSN Verisign (0.84)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (0.83)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AGI

O Realty Income (-0.0)

ES Eversource Energy (0.0)

HBAN Huntington Bancshares (-0.02)

OMF OneMain (0.02)

SNY Sanofi (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AGI

FUN Cedar Fair (-0.83)

NUVB Nuvation Bio (-0.84)

HP Helmerich & Payne (-0.84)

M Macy's (-0.85)

FDX Fedex (-0.9)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.