HII Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HII's robust defense contracts and low implied volatility offer potential for substantial upside, supported by institutional backing.




Bearish Case: Shipbuilding delays and cost overruns, paired with geopolitical uncertainties, create significant downside risks for HII.




Potential Outcomes:

1. 55% chance of stabilization due to contracts.

2. 30% probability of decline from macroeconomic pressures.

3. 15% likelihood of significant growth with new deals.




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December 26, 2024


Huntington Ingalls Industries Forecast

HII        Huntington Ingalls Industries











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HII



BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.83)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (0.78)


BRKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BRKR  Bruker (0.76)


ANDE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANDE  Andersons (0.7)


LEA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEA  Lear (0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HII



YANG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YANG  Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)


SA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SA  Seabridge Gold (-0.0)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (0.0)


ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.0)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HII



BEKE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BEKE  KE (-0.69)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.7)


CCJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCJ  Cameco (-0.71)


HSBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HSBC  HSBC (-0.75)


COCO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COCO  Vita Coco (-0.77)









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