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HII Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: HII's robust defense contracts and low implied volatility offer potential for substantial upside, supported by institutional backing.

Bearish Case: Shipbuilding delays and cost overruns, paired with geopolitical uncertainties, create significant downside risks for HII.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 55% chance of stabilization due to contracts.

2. 30% probability of decline from macroeconomic pressures.

3. 15% likelihood of significant growth with new deals.

Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread with the 190/210 strikes, expiring in June 2025. Low implied volatility and historical mean reversion favor this risk-defined, high-reward strategy aimed at capturing potential upside from defense contracts.

December 26, 2024

Huntington Ingalls Industries Forecast

HII Huntington Ingalls Industries

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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See Longer Forecasts

Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HII

BAX Baxter International (0.83)

HOG Harley-Davidson (0.82)

BLMN Bloomin Brands (0.68)

LKQ LKQ (0.67)

QRVO Qorvo (0.67)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HII

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.0)

SA Seabridge Gold (-0.0)

YANG Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)

ANET Arista Networks (0.0)

ROST Ross Stores (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HII

GOOG Alphabet (-0.7)

GOOGL Alphabet (-0.7)

CCJ Cameco (-0.71)

FOSL Fossil (-0.71)

HSBC HSBC (-0.75)

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