HTH Forecast


Bullish Case: The HTH stock's historical growth signals a rebound potential, bolstered by strong dividend yields and a tendency for mean reversion, suggesting a favorable long-term investment environment.


Bearish Case: Current bearish sentiment, coupled with high implied volatility and recent selling pressure, indicates potential for further price declines unless market conditions stabilize significantly.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Price recovery (40%): Historical trends support a turnaround.

2) Continued decline (50%): Bearish indicators suggest more losses.

3) Sideways movement (10%): Market remains range-bound with mixed signals.


Trading Oracle: Engage in bullish debit spreads focusing on HTH call options, capitalizing on the high implied volatility for short-term movements. Simultaneously, consider long-term credit spreads to take advantage of HTH's historical growth potential, balancing your risk-reward ratio effectively.


July 25, 2024


Hilltop Forecast

HTH      Hilltop











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HTH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.4)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.04)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.19)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HTH



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.04)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.19)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.4)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HTH



ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (0.4)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.04)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (-0.19)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.23)





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