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KGC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: KGC's robust historical returns and strong institutional support, alongside positive price momentum and high call volume, suggest bullish potential. The ongoing Tasiast expansion could further boost production and profitability.

Bearish Case: Persistent market skepticism, high implied volatility, and geopolitical risks in mining regions pose significant downside risks. Volatility spikes and high put volumes indicate potential for downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of upside from institutional backing and production increases.

2. 35% probability of downside due to geopolitical risks and competition.

3. 25% chance of price stagnation amid mixed signals.

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March 22, 2025

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KGC Kinross Gold

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KGC

ROST Ross Stores (-0.01)

RMBS Rambus (0.03)

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HCA HCA Healthcare (0.04)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KGC

CRON Cronos (-0.87)

ATKR Atkore (-0.87)

XRX Xerox (-0.88)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)

GES Guess (-0.91)

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