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KGC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: KGC's robust historical returns and strong institutional support, alongside positive price momentum and high call volume, suggest bullish potential. The ongoing Tasiast expansion could further boost production and profitability.

Bearish Case: Persistent market skepticism, high implied volatility, and geopolitical risks in mining regions pose significant downside risks. Volatility spikes and high put volumes indicate potential for downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 40% chance of upside from institutional backing and production increases.

2. 35% probability of downside due to geopolitical risks and competition.

3. 25% chance of price stagnation amid mixed signals.

Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short volatility strategy: Sell 2 ATM $12 put options, buy 3 OOTM $11 put options. Positive edge and 74% profit probability capitalize on potential price stability and volatility decay.

March 22, 2025

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to KGC

ROST Ross Stores (-0.01)

RMBS Rambus (0.03)

XLV Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.04)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.04)

VOD Vodafone (-0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against KGC

CRON Cronos (-0.87)

ATKR Atkore (-0.87)

XRX Xerox (-0.88)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)

GES Guess (-0.91)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.