LAND Forecast


Bullish Case: Gladstone Land's consistent dividends and favorable options implied volatility suggest potential price stabilization and moderate gains.


Bearish Case: A high historical volatility and recent price underperformance relative to broader market trends imply potential downside risk.


Potential Outcomes: Flat: 50%, Bullish (5-10%): 30%, Bearish (5-10%): 20%. Market efficiency, price mean-reversion, and macroeconomic factors were considered in these estimates.


Trading Oracle: Trade a short gamma, iron condor using Helium Short Volatility with 1-2 month expiry targeting $13-$14. Low volatility and option pricing provide high reward-to-risk, maintaining positive edge and high probability-of-profit.


June 30, 2024


Gladstone Land Forecast

LAND      Gladstone Land











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RIVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIVN  Rivian Automotive (0.89)


NYCB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NYCB  New York Community Bancorp (0.87)


AUPH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AUPH  Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.87)


JOBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JOBY  Joby Aviation (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LAND



PAAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAAS  Pan American Silver (0.0)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.0)


CFLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CFLT  Confluent (-0.0)


PHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHG  Koninklijke Philips (-0.0)


MNKD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNKD  Mannkind (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LAND



TM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TM  Toyota Motor (-0.82)


NTNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NTNX  Nutanix (-0.82)


WSM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WSM  Williams-Sonoma (-0.83)


MPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MPC  Marathon Petroleum (-0.83)


WRB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRB  W.R. Berkley (-0.83)





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