MAXN Forecast


Bullish Case: Maxeon's advanced IBC solar panels mitigate long-term degradation, providing a technological edge. Expansion into the US and aggressive patent protection could stabilize market confidence.


Bearish Case: Continued financial struggles, high debt, and market skepticism weigh down Maxeon's recovery chances. Legal challenges and operational failures could further hurt stock value.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued revenue decline (50%): Persistent financial struggles and market headwinds.

2. Successful expansion (25%): Boost from US facility.

3. Patent litigation outcomes (25%): Mixed results affecting stock. Historical price shows high likelihood of mean reversion with potential downside.


Trading Oracle: Buy Jan 2025 1.50 puts, sell Jan 2025 1.00 puts. Maxeon's high volatility and bearish trend favor this bearish debit spread. Duration: 180 days. Aims to capture downside while limiting risk.


July 03, 2024


Maxeon Solar Forecast

MAXN      Maxeon Solar











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VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.82)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.78)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.8)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MAXN



XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.78)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.8)


VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.82)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MAXN



VFC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VFC  VF (0.82)


LI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LI  Li Auto (0.78)


XLE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLE  Energy Select Sector SPDR (-0.4)


ETRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETRN  Equitrans Midstream (-0.8)





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