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AEO Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: AEO's strong brand and digital growth can drive upside, especially with promotional strategies that reinvigorate consumer interest. The recent sentiment about affordability catalyzes potential recovery.



Bearish Case: High volatility and recent declines indicate vulnerability to economic pressures and market saturation. The heavy put option activity signals bearish sentiment and potential further downturn.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Continued brand momentum and promotions boost prices (30%).

2. Consumer spending cuts due to economic pressures lead to further decline (40%).

3. Flat performance amid mixed sentiments (30%).



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July 01, 2025


American Eagle Outfitters Forecast

AEO        American Eagle Outfitters

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with AEO


DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (0.96)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.95)


MYGN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MYGN  Myriad Genetics (0.94)


LEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LEN  Lennar (0.94)


KSS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KSS  Kohl's (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to AEO


VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (-0.0)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (-0.0)


OWL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OWL  Blue Owl (-0.0)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (0.02)


WCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WCC  Wesco International (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against AEO


PM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PM  Philip Morris International (-0.88)


LRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LRN  Stride (-0.89)


GILD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GILD  Gilead Sciences (-0.89)


CNP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNP  Centerpoint Energy (-0.9)


SRAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRAD  Sportradar Group AG (-0.92)







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