MGM Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: MGM's bullish risk is 32% higher than bearish, plus the Bellagio expansion should drive revenue. Helium implied volatility is lower, indicating stabilizing confidence.


Bearish Case: MGM's historical mean reversion and low recent price relative to past highs; economic downturn could threaten revenues from travel and tourism.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Osaka resort success boosts revenue (65%).

2) Economic downturn impacts tourism (25%).

3) Regulatory challenges hinder expansion (10%).


Trading Oracle: Sell bullish short volatility via put spreads. Sell 5 $44 puts and buy 8 $41 puts expiring in ~11 days. Positive edge, high reward:risk, and 72% probability of profit.


July 10, 2024


MGM Resorts International Forecast

MGM      MGM Resorts International











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