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MGM Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MGM's strategic expansion into digital gambling and successful Macau operations offer robust revenue potential, especially with easing travel restrictions boosting tourism and conventions in Las Vegas.

Bearish Case: Economic uncertainties and regulatory issues could impede MGM's growth, with high implied volatility indicating market discomfort. Mean-reverting price trends and low options volume further suggest limited investor confidence.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Osaka project success boosts revenue (65%).

2) Economic downturn affects tourism (25%).

3) Regulatory hurdles limit expansion (10%).

April 13, 2025

MGM Resorts International Forecast

MGM MGM Resorts International

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MGM

HRI Herc (-0.01)

ROST Ross Stores (0.02)

CAT Caterpillar (-0.02)

DXC DXC Technology (-0.02)

QGEN Qiagen (0.03)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MGM

CLBT Cellebrite DI (-0.71)

V Visa (-0.73)

GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia (-0.74)

BBAR BBVA Argentina (-0.76)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (-0.79)

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